Showing posts with label black-scholes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label black-scholes. Show all posts

Sunday, October 14, 2012

The formulae for succeeding at binary options trading

The forefather of binary options science
Whether you're heard about the black-scholes formula or you've never heard these words, you should definitely know what they are if you plan to trade binary options.

The black-scholes formula is a way to predict what a certain commodity like forex, gold, silver or oil, will do in a set amount of time. It takes into account how money will fluctuate in a small amount of time. It hands today's binary options trader a statistical probability that a commodity that they want to invest in will reach certain highs and lows during a set amount of time.

Then, it allows the binary options trader to make more intelligent and more accurate predictions for the investment that they want to make. Learn more about the black-scholes and geometric brownian motion ; the same that was discovered by the botanist Robert Brown in the 19th century, so that you can put your next investment into motion!

Sunday, January 22, 2012

Why gold is a popular binary options trading asset

Gold prices have been pogoing up the charts
Gold is, in general, quite volatile. For this reason, it can make for a great choice with trading gold binary options. With its volatility, gold tends to fluctuate a great deal in price in a short amount of time. This, of course, is exactly what you want to see when you are trading binary options. The more that the prices fluctuate and the higher or lower they go, the more likely you'll be to make correct choices for the investment in binary options. This means that, assuming you are correct in your prediction, you can make great gains on the money that you invest. For this reason, when you trade binary options, trading gold is certainly a choice that many people make. It's worth looking into the gold binary options choices and seeing if they are right for your needs.

Thursday, September 1, 2011

Understand what are binary options.

There is an awful lot of information floating around the internet of tips for trading binary options. The thing is that while the information offered on such sites is accurate and true, it has to be used in conjunction with existing knowledge and experience with binary options trading, or the tips are not of much use.

To help you better use such tips for the next time you are trading binary options, you need to understand what is a binary option. We first need to take a step back and understand what is going on inside the computer's brain when you trade options on a binary platform.

The first thing to realize is that the system assumes that the market is frictionless and fractional, meaning they can buy and sell stocks with no commission, and that you don't have to buy an entire share, but rather a fractional amount of a share. These aspects are part of the Black-Scholes valuation formula and are the basis for trading binary options

Another aspect required by the Black-Scholes model is that it requires a risk-free ability to borrow money, meaning that there is no risk of loosing it, such as depositing it in a bank, and if the money is somehow lost it is insured etc, etc.


Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Cheat-Sheet for the Black-Scholes Valuation Formula

You don't need to know the algebra for the Black-Scholes valuation formula to make money from it, but you do need to understand it so that you don't make mistakes that cost you money. This blog-cheat-sheet will help you understand the basics for Black-Scholes, specifically the details needed to trade binary options.

First of all, the basics: Black-Scholes is a Nobel Prize winning formula that was created by Fischer Black and Myron Scholes - two very intelligent economists from MIT and Harvard. Fischer Black and Myron Scholes worked together at to create the formula after first working on the famous Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which was proven to not be as accurate for certain investments. They worked on the kinks and problems of the formula with Robert Merton for nearly 3-years from 1968 to 1971 eventually coming up with the Black-Scholes model which was eventually used to establish an investment fund that at first made some reasonable gains, but then lost nearly all of its value at a staggering loss of over $4,000,000,000 for investors. Since then it is not longer considered a long position investment and is primarily used by day-trader dealing in binary options.

Now you know, and the more you know, the better you will trade, so keep on reading.

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Binary Options Trading - So much easier to do online.

There are certain things that have gotten much easier these past few decades thanks to the help and advanced in modern technology. We where still very capable of calling overseas and maintaining contact with the world entire, even in the 1960's and 1970's - However, it was much more expensive back then and bit more cumbersome.

With certain financial concepts and instruments, they would simply not be viable if we did not have the instant-connections that we take for granite in today's worlds. Albeit there would be people who could make a functioning purchase that would be the same as modern online binary options trading, however, it would not be for the small amounts we repeat over and over and it would not be in a matter of a few clicks.

Using the same principals as Black-Scholes outlines years ago, we have the ability to make money on the market based on our ability to predict it, not simply on our ability to predict increases and gains. We are even able to make a profit on accurately predicting if the market will remain stable or will fluctuate in the next few minutes, equally gaining or loosing based on the absolute value of the markets movements, and disregard the direction of that movement.

There are many online sites that offer very secure and fast binary options trading, and further more it can be confusing as to which one to use and how much to place. A few fellow writers in my field have recommended that, unless you are a financial planning professional, you should refrain from making any large investment till you have given it a try and found how to turn small amounts into slightly larger amounts.

So next time you are trading online and having a nice time, remember that it is technology that makes it all possible and if we still had our 1970's style technology we'd be putting on records on the 8-track and dialing our friends on a handheld radio.






Binary Trading is WAY easier now than it might have been in the 1970's



You can download this cartoon of a 1970's style binary options trader at the following links:
1970's style binary options trader on Flickr
Binary Options Trader with full 70's style hair and mustache on Panoramio
Binary trader with old-school walkie talkie on Red Bubble
Guy trading binary options on 70's size walkie talkie on Twitpic
Photobucket hosted pic of 70's style binary options trader


Monday, July 25, 2011

The Black Scholes smiling graph.

As you are probably familiar with, the Black-Scholes model is the basis for Binary Trading, a new form of derivative investment that enables you to make money based on your accurate prediction of how the market will perform.

dV=\left(\mu S \frac{\partial V}{\partial S}+\frac{\partial V}{\partial t}+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}S^{2}\frac{\partial^{2} V}{\partial S^{2}}\right)dt+\sigma S \frac{\partial V}{\partial S}\,dW.
This means that you can make good money by accurately predicting that a stock or other investment will go down in price, will remain the same, or will reach or drop to a certain level. While in the past, stocks would only be of use to an investor if they performed well (or in the example of a short sale, performed poorly) - but the Black Scholes model allows for "Binary Trading" meaning that you can hedge the market based on all-or-nothing positions, meaning you make 85% (or so) profit if you are right and loose 100% if you are wrong.

\Delta S = \mu S \,\Delta t+\sigma S\,\Delta W\,
\Delta V=\left(\mu S \frac{\partial V}{\partial S}+\frac{\partial V}{\partial t}+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}S^{2}\frac{\partial^{2} V}{\partial S^{2}}\right)\Delta t+\sigma S \frac{\partial V}{\partial S}\,\Delta W.


With the way the market has behaved in the recent years, it became critical for investors to be able to make money using their knowledge of the market, without having to wait YEARS for the bull market to return.

Basically, if you can look at a graph and predict where it will go next, then binary options trading is right for you.